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Predicted lineups for GW 292 for J1 League for Patreon (SAMPLE)

THIS IS A SAMPLE OF THE LINEUP REPORT I DO FOR PATREONS EACH GW INFO ABOUT IT CAN BE FOUND HERE

Intro


After a 2 week break which saw Japan win the EAFF tournament, we return to (hopefully) a full schedule of the J1 league!

I say hopefully as there has been a number of teams who had to cancel training due to covid outbreaks, I will be updating info on this when I see it


I have made the predicted lineups for games on the PlaySharper app which can be found here:


https://playsharper.com/lineups Please only use the website rather than the app as there are some bugs currently being looked into on the mobile app.


I have also copy pasted the image of the lineups incase you have difficulty accessing the desktop site.


Important to note the %s used here and where they are not above 75% it is because I feel there is some risk involved. My main aim with these is to show where risk/potential DNPs are lurking.


I base these %s on info I read from various sources including comments from the manager and reading a lot of local Japanese news coverage/message boards.


These are my own opinion of the situation at each team. I try to be as neutral as possible but we all have biases :) So always do your own research when making picks! I may well miss something but a lot of times its due to lack of information where we get "surprise" DNPs. I will also have more info for players I own as a I naturally check those more actively.


Player Suspensions


The following players are suspended for this GW:




National Team starters

Please note the below players played on Wednesday night for Japan. This means they have lower % to start than normal though as the game was held in Japan this means less travel and improves their chances to play for their respective teams:




J1 League GW292







Sapporo vs Nagoya








  • There is 1 Covid case in the top team

  • Fukai has said hes ready to return

  • Lucas Fernandes is in full training and could be pushing for a start. Fukumori is at risk again and we could see Takamine starting in defence





  • Covid outbreak that led to training being postponed. Training is now back, awaiting training photos/info

UPDATE: The training was done privately, the manager had this to say:



  • Nagai & Naldinho are new signing and will be pushing for starts

  • Nakatani was a unused sub in the international game vs S.Korea on Wednesday night and should be fine here. Soma played and scored, my feeling is he will play here especially with Yoshida suspended

Odds


Iwata vs Shonan



  • 1 Covid case

  • Gonzalez has returned to full training and should start

  • New signing Ko Matsubara could be handed his debut too





  • 1 Covid case

  • Machino and Tani played for the international team vs S.Korea on Wednesday hence the lower than normal % for Machino. They did train yesterday so I see them starting this one




Odds




Urawa vs Kawasaki




  • Linssen was injured in the friendly vs PSG and is a big doubt for this game

  • Junker should start this one, he has been training well and has said in recent interviews hes motivated

Players seen in training (if not seen, doesnt mean are out - could just not have been photographed!)


  • Chinen

  • Mawatari

  • Shibato

  • Sakai

  • Matsuo

  • Ito

  • Junker

  • Esaka

  • Moberg

  • Schalk

  • Suzuki

  • Matsuzuki

  • Sekine

  • Iwao

  • Akimoto

  • Koizumi

  • Ohata

Notable players not seen:


  • Linssen (went off injured vs PSG

  • Scholz (didnt play vs PSG and not seen in training)





We got the below news on Thursday sadly:


  • Its likely Yamane has covid as he wasnt in the squad for Japan national team at the same time they reported a case

  • I am waiting for training info/any hints for Frontale. At the moment I would avoid or use only in speculative teams

  • So far, the only hint we have got it with Seko doing the press conference. Wakizaka was on international duty and only play a few mins on Wednesday so should be fine here. My feeling is Taniguchi depsite playing the full game may be required to play this game

  • Saying this - the game is at risk of postponement depending on if anymore positive cases are found today or tomorrow


Odds




Yokohama FM vs Kashima



  • 1- 4 cases of Covid

  • A number of players for YFM were part of the recent Japan squad - we know Miyaichi was injured and v unlikely to play here

  • Outside this, I am awaiting training news/photos to get hints on who is likely to start. I will post these on Discord if/when they come. YFM also have a very busy schedule coming up including a quarter final league cup clash vs Hiroshima midweek.



  • Around 4-7 of Covid cases

  • Misao and Anzai returned to training yesterday. Unclear if match fit though I see them likely starting

  • Sun Tae a doubt, could mean Oki starts though its hard to know for sure just based on this:


Players seen in training (if not seen, doesnt mean are out - could just not have been photographed!)


  • Higuchi

  • Bueno

  • Sekigawa

  • Alano

  • Pituca

  • Izumi

  • Caike

  • Doi

  • Everaldo

  • Suzuki

  • Funabashi

  • Hirose

  • Anzai (seen according to msg board on 28th, uncertain if match fit)

  • Misao(seen according to msg board on 28th, uncertain if match fit)


Notable players not seen:


  • Tsunemoto (msg boards think he has covid)

  • Sun Tae (missed training, unclear his condition)

Odds





Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto



  • CBs here are very hard to predict. Kwon played for S.Korea and looked to be fatigued. Shoji has alot of rumours flying around about his future and the defence is general looked poor (though not unsurprisingly!) vs PSG

  • Meshino is pushing for a start. Yamami was one of a few bright sparks in that PSG game and also is pushing for a start

  • We got the below announcement from Kyoto last week:

  • I am still awaiting training pictures so for the time being I would suggest avoid using any Kyoto players

  • Kyoto signed Carius recently though again I would want to see training pictures before I put him into the predicted team

Odds


C.Osaka vs Fukuoka



  • Harakawa was reported to be seen in training, I havent seen him in recent training pics personally so am uncertain his condition.

  • Taggart and Mendes also seen in training and pushing for a start



  • Up to 9 top squad players tested postive for covid last week

  • Waiting for training pictures, for now I would avoid if possible. These %s are based on the assumption all are available to play as its impossible to know who may have tested positive. All indications point to the game going ahead though there is a slight risk of postponement


Kobe vs Kashiwa





  • Up to 3 players with covid from last week

  • Iniesta unavailable as has returned to Spain for family reasons. Muto not seen in training photos

  • Kikuchi out injured so Makino should start here. New signing Kobayashi already in training though unknown if match fit




  • Up to 3 Covid cases - msg board expects a strong team though

  • Keeper Morita signed for Kashiwa, its unknown if he will be a starter. Sasaki has done well and especially after a CS last game it would be harsh to drop him though never underestimate how much experience is wanted in the J league! One to watch for sure and I hope Sasaki stays in nets here as he deserves it.

  • Douglas seen in training! Not sure if match fit

  • Ominami and Hosoya were called up for the nationals squad but not used



Odds



Hiroshima vs Tokyo






  • Douglas Viera seen in training though unlikely to be match fit yet

  • Sasaki played for Japan on Wednesday so increased chance of rotation here. Notsuda, was an unused subs so should be fine here. Morishima took a knock and unsure his condition









  • Luiz Phellype joined the team and could play this one. My gut is he will gradually put into the side as a sub

  • Tsukagawa joined from Kawasaki and will be also pushing for a start in midfield






Odds


Shimizu vs Sagan



  • Another team that cancelled recent training due to a covid outbreak with at least 7 players testing positive recently. Rumour is Gonda is one of these so Okubo could come in. The game is also potentially at risk depending on todays tests

  • Shimizu have also been busy in the transfer market and depending on fitness, Inui and Pikachu will be pushing for a start.



Odds


Finish


I hope you found this useful! As we can see this GW has been hit hard by covid cases. I have tried to go through for each team various sources to get the best available info to dodge those DNPs. There are also a few games at risk of cancellation especially Shimizu vs Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki vs Urawa. I hope to get more info/announcements before the deadline.


In terms of betting odds, I feel they are slightly off this GW and not factored in rotation risks due to the covid outbreaks. I do however like xGA- Shonan have amongst the best xGA and that favours the U23 pairing of Tani and Sugioka

xG - Yokohama FM, alongside Hiroshima top the xG charts


I will be updating the Discord Channel with any info I see that could prove useful all the way to deadline, so keep a look out for that!





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